Urban mobility scenarios until the 2030s – Article by Márk Miskolczi, and Melinda Jászberényi
2021-12-15 12:39:13The article co-authored by PhD Student Márk Miskolczi and Habilitated Associate Professor Melinda Jászberényi was published in the Sustainable Cities and Society.
Urban mobility is particularly affected by technology development. This research focuses on the mobility system of cities in the foreseeable future – that is, until the 2030s. A systematic literature review (SLR) of 62 scientific documents and 52 scenarios predicted and developed by researchers are presented here, providing a comprehensive picture of current urban transport research perspectives. Based on a complex method built for this review, four scenarios (‘Grumpy old transport’, ‘At an easy pace’, ‘Mine is yours’, and ‘Tech-eager mobility’) have been created, each forecasting a different path towards future urban mobility. The scenarios so formed describe the expected role and potential of emerging mobility solutions (namely autonomous vehicles, shared mobility, and electrification) and include socio-economic and environmental perspectives. By 2030, most likely pathways are the ‘At an easy pace’ or the ‘Mine is yours’ scenarios, which means that only an incremental advance, such as a slow shift towards self-driving, electric and shared vehicle use is predicted.
Miskolczi, M., Foldes, D., Munkacsy, A., & Jaszberenyi, M. (2021). Urban mobility scenarios until the 2030s. SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND SOCIETY, 72. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2021.103029
SJR 2020: 1.645
Q1 (Civil and Structural Engineering; Geography, Planning and Development; Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment; Transportation)
AIp 2020: 72
C épület, 301
C épület, 301
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